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Don’t get me wrong it’ll have to pop eventually, but I see it as very likely the US government will pump billions of taxpayer money into the industry to keep it going long after it should have failed. The US is basically guaranteed to go into a pretty bad recession when it pops now given basically all US GDP growth is from AI currently.
Cancelling capacity is a good point that I missed, though there’ll still be the wave of non-AI but non-consumer demand that’s been pent-up, so it’s still not going straight back to the consumer.
The inventory thing isn’t going to play out like that simply because the stuff being made is incompatible with consumer hardware. People running data centres might be able to do some cheaper server upgrades, but you’re not going to be putting HBM memory and SXM5 GPUs into any consumer motherboard
3-4 months isn’t happening even if there’s a catastrophic, all-pops-at-once, event tomorrow. And honestly, given everything, I think the best we’re seeing is a negligible drop at least a couple of years away, and that’ll become the new norm.
Oh another one I forgot, Bezos’ post-AI-bubble plan seems to be that consumers only get thin clients and rent compute from the cloud. I’d put money on AWS buying up the majority of spoils of unsold AI inventory, and fab capacity shifting to serve that. It’s now very much in Bezos’ interest to make sure consumer hardware prices never come down, so people are left with no other choice.
This one isn’t artificial scarcity, I’m afraid
There is literally less available for the consumer because all the various chip fabs have had their capacity bought for AI data centre expansion.
This is not the same as a scalper situation where the supply has been taken but ultimately needs to be sold back to consumers. You, a single consumer, are competing with the buying power of the likes of Google, Amazon & Microsoft.
Plus they have booked up this capacity pretty far in advance, so even if they stopped buying up more today (they will not until the AI bubble pops), consumer prices aren’t going to change until all of that capacity reservation has passed. Then after that, all the companies that wanted to buy capacity, but couldn’t compete with the big ones will get their turn. Then eventually the fabs might find themselves with a bit of surplus capacity to increase the production of consumer hardware. Then there will be the pent-up consumer demand keeping prices elevated for a good number of months or years (depending how long this all goes on for). After all that, supply and demand could see prices dropping back down a bit.
These fabs will start to physically expand on order to increase capacity if it goes on long enough, but these kind of expansions take many years to build and bring online.
Other things to remember, the current US administration is motivated to prop up this bubble as long as they can because it’s basically the only industry in the US that’s not shitting the bed currently, so when it pops a lot of US GDP is going with it and probably going to cause a pretty bad recession. Another is inflation; by the time this is all over prices might have inflated enough due to the devaluation of money that any drop in prices would be offset.
Basically, I wouldn’t hold your breath
The hardware is generally not open source, and it’s technically illegal in a lot of jurisdictions to redistribute the binary blobs that make it work without permission from the manufacturer (basically never has happened). Because there is minimal focus on forward and backward compatibility, different chips from the same product line are very often incompatible with each other, let alone from different manufacturers.
So phone ROM maintainers have the job of stripping out those binary bits from a recovery image for a given phone or something and then getting them working with an open source build of android. All the while taking a (albeit kinda low) legal risk. Take a look at most of the long running open source Android projects and you’ll see they have had to structure their projects to mitigate legal exposure.
In Linux most of the hardware support is just straight up open source, the bits that aren’t (typically GPU or specialist hardware drivers) are manufactured by people that want you to use their hardware on Linux, so they release prepackaged drivers for you to use.
Phone manufacturers are motivated to try and ensure everyone uses their stock ROM because ultimately they have to support the device if a user breaks something, and that’s easier for them when they eliminate as many variables as they can. Even if they can charge the user out of warranty, it’s still tying up support resources from their perspective.
That’s kinda a different case than what everyone is referring to when they’re talking about this
However, it’s an interesting point: do we know those voice actors are being paid the same as if they did the lines all themselves or is this a studio cheaping out on paying actors to do the job?
There might have been a load of actors who turned the job down before they found someone desperate enough for the money or naive enough to not realise it will likely drive down wages for voice actors if this becomes commonplace.
Almost the same as me at the start of this year, got a 5900XT and went up to 64GB of RAM for 250-300 quid
Funnily enough I did that because I was telling myself the current crop of GPUs are overpriced so I’ll try and hold on to my 3080 for a couple more years, so upgrading other parts would make sense whilst I waited.
Now it’s all overpriced!
I guess it’s my turn to say it in a thread:
Best classic roguelike on mobile IMO
I was going to also suggest Downwell but it doesn’t seem to be available any more
Hmm, tough one. I’m going to maximise replayability and this assumes all DLC too
- RimWorld
- Factorio
- Balatro
- FTL or Slay the Spire
- Civ 6 or Cities Skylines
Honourable mention to several JRPGs from Squaresoft
Edit: I’m now reading the thread and second guessing everything. But gonna keep my original list
Stores are supposed to then take what they’ve received and donate it to a local charity. The workers have to figure out what charity they’ll partner with, and have to do the leg work of coordinating the donations themselves.
And let me guess, they’re either expected to do this in their free time or not miss their targets if they do it during work
I think it’s mostly because these Devs were impacted by an actual mistake from valve recently, and then this happens during their apparent compensation for this.
Tbf though I agree this article is mostly about clicks. They say the emails went out and they sold 5k copies, so it’s not like the first time
I’ve been playing N64 games just fine on my MiSTer FPGA for like a year or so now.
I can even use my Retrode 2 to use a real cart if I want rather than my network share with a complete 1g1r set for the platform.
I know they’re a “it just works” solution, but I just don’t see the value in the Analogue stuff compared to MiSTer if you’re even remotely techy
You get hardware emulation of almost everything from before the dreamcast for about the same price as this single console
It shouldn’t be, no. But one of the big problems with phones currently is that the radio firmware is almost always a closed-source binary blob.
Airplane mode is probably better understood as the OS asking the radio nicely to not attempt to communicate with the outside world. The antenna is still there able to receive signals, and the radio technically doesn’t have to listen to the OS if it doesn’t want to.
It’s incredibly unlikely (researchers look for this kind of thing), so make sure your tin foil is on tight, but not impossible that a radio could store cell tower identifiers it has seen whilst on airplane mode and do something with them when it is allowed to communicate again. There’s also the possibility there’s some secret signal that can be sent to force a phone in airplane mode to respond.
Unless you’re up to some Edward Snowdon level stuff though, even if that last one exists, it’s probably not being used on you.
The radios are the parts of your phone that communicate wirelessly. Most phones will only turn the cell radio off entirely during airplane mode, disabling mobile data does not typically turn that radio off.
Airplane mode should turn everything off (unless you re-enable things like WiFi, but that should still keep the cell radio off)
They are losing business, because revenue goes down.
They will negotiate the prices they pay publishers for a set of keys to use in humble choice to mean they get their 15% cut of the revenue. If a publisher sets the price too high, they’ll go elsewhere until they can get their margin.
If they lose ~25% of their subscribers over a ~40% price hike, they will be right back where they started in terms of profit—which is a place where they would consider hiking the price and losing customers.
That’s about a 40% increase in the amount I have been paying for years without fail, partially at the threat of if I cancel, I lose my grandfathered pricing.
And frankly the quality of the bundles has been dropping for a while.
I guess I finally cancel then. What a silly way to lose business
Edit: and cancelled, happy there was a text box for me to tell them why I’m gone. 8 years of paying monthly apparently
People who knew what they were doing with computers used Netscape until it died, those people went to Mozilla suite and then Firefox (well, Phoenix then Firebird then Firefox). But that was a shrinking minority of people on the internet at the turn of the millennium.
Practically everyone else used IE (90%+ of web traffic at its peak) and continued to do so until Google released Chrome and shone a light on how little Microsoft had been doing for nearly a decade.
Dominance was dominance however they got it, and they pissed it away through complacency, somewhat similarly to what they’re doing now.
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Oh don’t get me wrong, I wasn’t saying this was “just quake”
Ah fair play, tbh I saw that list of maneuvers and it was like I’d been warped back 20 years and started watching a hypercam skill video on YouTube with 009 Soundsystem dreamscape in the background.
Well you’ve definitely got me intrigued anyway, I’ll probably pick it up when it’s on sale