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It’s also possible Linux usage didn’t shrink, but the Steam userbase simply grew faster, with people getting new Windows 11 computers for Christmas

As the article says:

If more Steam users were active in general thanks to the year-end holidays or for taking advantage of winter sale discounts, Steam on Linux at 3.19% still may be similar or larger in absolute terms than November.

DebatableRaccoon
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Also a possibility, yes

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