Image gen did not exist in any way shape or form before. Now we’re getting video gen like a few years later.
Let’s not forget we started by playing the game of Go better. My prediction as a hobby Go programmer (the game, not language) in 2015 would be that better than human AIs would be there by 2020 and they got there by 2016.
Before the AlphaGo match with Lee Sedol people predicted the AI would just put up a decent fight since a previous version played questionably against a weaker player. It blew one of the best players ever out of the water, losing only one game of the series.
Future matches even against the world #1 with the better models showed it to be invincible against humans
You’re making the same mistake. You’re looking at the current capabilities and predicting a human speed of improvement. AI is improving faster.
You have the cause and effect switched. More intelligent parents have higher incomes, their kids also are more likely to have higher intelligence because it’s heritable. So if a bunch of rich Jews live in a Manhattan, does it mean that IQ is predicting their zip code? Or is it predicting they are Jewish? That’s just a weird way of thinking about it.
Your definition of intelligence is not that is commonly thought of intelligence. It’s like saying “intelligence is your maximum chess skill measured by elo and you will never achieve it”
But learning to play chess quickly would also fall under intelligence. Given not being a high level at a similar game, there will be people who learn quicker than others. Learning languages, learning from your experience, all fall under intelligence.
If you take all of these measures, average them, you will get a true intelligence measurement. IQ is a sample of true intelligence by using only some measurements, since intelligence can have an infinite amount of tasks that it can be used to perform
You can see with image generation progress was extremely quick