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Spoiler: it will most likely never make a dent to the current wind industry.
If you actually read the article, you’ll see that it’s not meant to replace the current wind industry.
Reading the article?!? The Internet has no time for that, sir! /s 🤣
Joke aside, the article says:
My answer is: don’t hold your breath. I’m in that industry and it will take a veeeeeery long time until the costs are on par with current systems.
I’m referring to this bit:
The goal is to set these up in remote areas or for temporary measures where traditional windmills would be impractical.
I know. Many are trying to do similar things. But this concept will take a very long time until it works well enough.
Historically, China has a pretty good track record bringing this kind of stuff to fruition faster than people expect.
That’s partially a cognitive biais. You mostly remember the ones that survived and forget about the plethora that didn’t.
For instance: China, like many countries, also has lots of h2 trials that failed.
Time will tell. But saying that costs will be equivalent to that of conventional wind turbine is putting a lot of pressure on"will", which is doing all the heavy lifting…
I never said every project China does succeeds. You have to try lots of things when you’re pushing the envelope, some will be dead ends. However, China has managed to make a lot of things others abandoned succeed.
Such as?
They have managed to take over many industries mostly though their focused resources allocation, extremely large internal market and some dumping.
But what technology have they developed, that others failed?