According to a chart in Tesla’s Q4 2025 earnings report showing cumulative robotaxi miles, the fleet has traveled approximately 500,000 miles as of November 2025. That works out to roughly one crash every 55,000 miles.
For comparison, human drivers in the United States average approximately one police-reported crash every 500,000 miles, according to NHTSA data.
That means Tesla’s robotaxis are crashing at a rate 9 times higher than the average human driver.
That comparison requires there only be a single RoboTaxi though… It’s a faulty comparison.
Tesla’s Robotaxis suck, but you don’t have to go about making questionable statistics to show that.
The statistics make sense. The metric is total num crashes divided by total miles by fleet. It does not matter if one Tesla drove 10 km, or two teslas drove 5 km each.
It does not matter if one Tesla drove 10 km, or two teslas drove 5 km each.
It absolutely does, as they could have an accident with each other. If your statistics were taken, we could simplify down to a single vehicle globally, which can’t have an accident with another vehicle as we’re just removed them from consideration.
No it doesn’t. This effect only comes into effect if there are sufficient teslas on the road that p² is comparable to p, where p is the ratio of teslas to all cars. if 5% of all cars are Teslas, then p is 0.05 and p² is 0.0025, which is a negligible probability. Teslas are much more likely to encounter non-Teslas than Teslas.
You are not logged in. However you can subscribe from another Fediverse account, for example Lemmy or Mastodon. To do this, paste the following into the search field of your instance: [email protected]
This is the official technology community of Lemmy.ml for all news related to creation and use of technology, and to facilitate civil, meaningful discussion around it.
Ask in DM before posting product reviews or ads. All such posts otherwise are subject to removal.
Rules:
1: All Lemmy rules apply
2: Do not post low effort posts
3: NEVER post naziped*gore stuff
4: Always post article URLs or their archived version URLs as sources, NOT screenshots. Help the blind users.
5: personal rants of Big Tech CEOs like Elon Musk are unwelcome (does not include posts about their companies affecting wide range of people)
6: no advertisement posts unless verified as legitimate and non-exploitative/non-consumerist
7: crypto related posts, unless essential, are disallowed
So, terrible at robo-taxis (despite a head start) & now pivoted to being a $1.44 trillion humanoid robotics start-up? That can only end well.
That comparison requires there only be a single RoboTaxi though… It’s a faulty comparison.
Tesla’s Robotaxis suck, but you don’t have to go about making questionable statistics to show that.
The statistics make sense. The metric is total num crashes divided by total miles by fleet. It does not matter if one Tesla drove 10 km, or two teslas drove 5 km each.
It absolutely does, as they could have an accident with each other. If your statistics were taken, we could simplify down to a single vehicle globally, which can’t have an accident with another vehicle as we’re just removed them from consideration.
No it doesn’t. This effect only comes into effect if there are sufficient teslas on the road that p² is comparable to p, where p is the ratio of teslas to all cars. if 5% of all cars are Teslas, then p is 0.05 and p² is 0.0025, which is a negligible probability. Teslas are much more likely to encounter non-Teslas than Teslas.